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دسته بندی:
زنجیره تامین - supply chain
سال انتشار:
2017
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله:
Modeling systemic risk of crude oil imports: Case of China’s global oil supply chain
ترجمه فارسی عنوان مقاله:
مدلسازی ریسک سیستماتیک واردات نفت خام: مورد زنجیره عرضه جهانی نفت چین
منبع:
Sciencedirect - Elsevier - Energy, 121 (2017) 449-465. doi:10.1016/j.energy.2017.01.018
نویسنده:
Xiaolei Sun a, b, *, Chang Liu a, b, Xiuwen Chen a, b, Jianping Li
چکیده انگلیسی:
Ways to accurately identify and measure systemic risk of oil imports continues to be the focus of intense
research because of the increasing importance of energy security. This study reexamines the risk of oil
imports from the perspective of global oil supply chain (OSC) and designs a standardized framework of
four risk factors, that is, availability, accessibility, affordability and acceptability risk. The former three
factors reveal the internal physical disruption risk of OSC and the last describes the external economic
risk which OSC faces. Then, a two-dimensional matrix is proposed to derive systemic risk of oil imports
from the internal to external risk. Taken China’s OSC for example, the empirical results demonstrate that
the method proposed in this study has the advantages of wide applicability and good efficiency. The
results show that, during the period 2003e2013, China’s oil-imports risk has experienced three different
evolution stages, which are driven by different risk-dominate factors. On considering that China’s OSC
has different risk characters in different stages, there is absolutely a need for China to make some im
provements in the strategy and tactics of oil imports.
Keywords: Oil supply chain | Systemic risk | Oil imports | Risk-dominance |Risk matrix
قیمت: رایگان
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