عنوان انگلیسی مقاله:
Investor personality predicts investment performance? A statistics and machine learning model investigation
ترجمه فارسی عنوان مقاله:
شخصیت سرمایه گذار عملکرد سرمایه گذاری را پیش بینی می کند؟ آمار و بررسی مدل یادگیری ماشین
Sciencedirect - Elsevier - Computers in Human Behavior, 101 (2019) 409-416: doi:10:1016/j:chb:2018:09:027
Ting-Hsuan Chena,∗, Ruey-Jenn Hob, Yi-Wei Liua
Investors use a wide variety of investment strategies, and the chosen strategy has a direct effect on the investors
individual performance. This study observes the personality attributes that affect an investors investment patterns.
We then analyze whether these attributes create significant differences in investors financial performance,
and determine which type of investment pattern is more profitable. Rather than using sentiment, a factor whose
noise level makes performance predictions difficult, we use the investors personality. We also apply statistics
tests and machine learning algorithms as we investigate whether personality plays an important role in profitability.
We find that the results provide strong evidence that investors personality influences short-term and longterm
trading performance. Using statistical models, the investors with personality traits such as conscientiousness,
agreeableness, extraversion, and openness, as opposed to neuroticism, perform better over the long term.
Our use of machine learning algorithms also reveals that investors with the traits of extraversion and openness
are likely to invest more profitably in long-term condition. The results provide investors with insight that can
help them choose future investment strategies.
Keywords: Personality | Investment performance | Machine learning