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دسته بندی:
مدیریت پروژه - Project Management
سال انتشار:
2020
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله:
It is about time: Bias and its mitigation in time-saving decisions in software development projects
ترجمه فارسی عنوان مقاله:
درباره زمان است: تعصب و کاهش آن در تصمیم گیری های صرفه جویی در زمان در پروژه های توسعه نرم افزار
منبع:
Sciencedirect - Elsevier - International Journal of Project Management, 38 (2020) 99-111. doi:10.1016/j.ijproman.2020.01.001
نویسنده:
Lior Fink *, Barak Pinchovski
چکیده انگلیسی:
Estimates of completion times in software development projects are frequently inaccurate, potentially resulting in
failure to meet project objectives. The present work aims at empirically investigating whether the time-saving
bias, describing the human failure to correctly estimate the relationship between speed increase and time
saving, can inform our understanding of the decades-long problem of time estimation in software development. In
particular, this work examines whether a decision to save time in a software development project by increasing
development speed is biased, whether this bias is observed when the decision is framed using plan-based and agile
terminology, and whether the availability of relevant information mitigates this bias. These objectives are
addressed in three experimental studies, in which senior information systems students (Study 1) and professional
software project managers (Studies 2 and 3) are asked to make time-saving decisions about two similar scenarios,
with and without relevant information. The findings confirm the existence of the bias and show that it is more
likely to occur under an agile framing than under a plan-based framing, although students are highly biased in
both cases. The findings also show that while the bias is mitigated, but not eliminated, when relevant information
is included in the scenario, this effect dissipates once the information is no longer included in the following
scenario. The accumulated evidence reported here contributes to research on the consequences of cognitive biases
for project management decisions.
Keywords: Decision making | Time-saving bias | Software development projects | Experiments
قیمت: رایگان
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