عنوان انگلیسی مقاله:
Risk propagation and mitigation of design change for complex product development (CPD) projects based on multilayer network theory
ترجمه فارسی عنوان مقاله:
انتشار ریسک و کاهش تغییر طراحی برای پروژه های پیچیده توسعه محصول (CPD) بر اساس تئوری شبکه چند لایه
Sciencedirect - Elsevier - Computers & Industrial Engineering, 142 (2020) 106370. doi:10.1016/j.cie.2020.106370
Ruimeng Li, Naiding Yang⁎, Yanlu Zhang, Hui Liu
Change risk propagation caused by unexpected design change has become a major source of risk to complex
product development (CPD) projects and provides great challenge to existing project risk management methods.
The aim of this paper is to reveal the law of design change risk propagation and mitigate the disruptive design
change risk propagation through improving the robustness and resilience of CPD projects. First, the CPD projects
are represented by multilayer networks with product-layer and organization-layer. Then, the model of design
change risk propagation is built based on load-capacity model under the consideration of change risk mitigation
strategies including redundant resource, inter-partner coordination, and project learning efficiency.
Furthermore, the effects of these strategies and their portfolios are estimated through numerical simulation. The
results provide the most cost-effective strategies to ultimately recover the multilayer CPD network within a
certain time frame. This paper proposes a new perspective to mitigate the design change risk of CPD projects
after the definition of project architecture and have implications for project managers to make reasonable decisions
according to concrete project contexts.
Keywords: Complex product development | Project risk management | Design change | Risk propagation | Risk mitigation