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دسته بندی:
مدیریت پروژه - Project Management
سال انتشار:
2020
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله:
Divergent agricultural water governance scenarios: The case of Zayanderud basin, Iran
ترجمه فارسی عنوان مقاله:
سناریوهای حاکم بر آب کشاورزی واگرا: پرونده حوضه زاینده رود ، ایران
منبع:
Sciencedirect - Elsevier - Agricultural Water Management, 229 (2020) 105921. doi:10.1016/j.agwat.2019.105921
نویسنده:
Neda Nazemia, Rider W. Foleyb,*, Garrick Louisa, Lauren Withycombe Keelerc
چکیده انگلیسی:
There is an urgent need to consider adaptation strategies for agricultural water resources in response to the evergrowing
demand for freshwater around the world. This is especially poignant in arid and semi-arid regions, like
the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) where water resources have been extremely limited historically.
Today, water resources are declining due to a variety of factors, including climate change, population growth
and changing food preferences. Research on this topic typically seeks to assess the impact of discreet alternative
interventions in isolation. However, it is necessary to analyze the broader factors affecting agricultural water
management as interconnected components of a complex water governance system within a specific geographic
context. This research uses an exploratory, formative scenario planning approach to a) identify important
adaptation strategies, b) use those adaptation strategies to construct a small set of coherent, plausible and
diverse regional agricultural water governance scenarios, and c) analyze future scenarios of the Zayandehroud
watershed in Iran in the year 2040. The research shares five scenarios that exemplify divergent adaptation and
mitigation approaches to agriculture water demand in Zayandehroud watershed, including adhering to the status
quo. Each scenario embodies different economic and political priorities to reveal how those priorities impact the
ecological, social, and economic sustainability of this watershed. These scenarios provide insights into the longterm
implications of near-term decisions about water and food security, resilience of local communities and the
ecological integrity of the regional watershed. This research explores the conceptual relationships between
components of the water governance system and demonstrates an approach to analyzing alternative constellations
of factors that will impact agricultural water management. Policy-makers can make more effective policies
if they consider how to transform the broader system of regional water governance, rather than only evaluating
discrete agricultural water management projects on a project-by-project basis.
Keywords: Adaptive governance | Scenario planning | Water market | Rural development | Local governance | Land use planning
قیمت: رایگان
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