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Crude oil maritime transportation: Market fluctuation characteristics and the impact of critical events
حمل و نقل دریایی نفت خام: ویژگی های نوسانات بازار و تأثیر حوادث مهم-2020 The international crude oil maritime transportation system has always been disturbed by the external
environment and its own mechanism of supply and demand, which can sometimes last for a long time.
BDTI (Baltic Exchange Dirty Tanker Index) is one of the most typical indexes in the crude oil maritime
transportation market, which is affected by many uncertain events and often lasts for a long time.
So it is very significant to study fluctuation characteristics of the crude oil maritime transportation
system and assess the impact of critical events, which have been referred to in this paper by improving
the R/S model and selecting three international transportation lines in marine shipping ranging from
2008 to 2019. Through model applications, numerical results validate the effectiveness of this method,
showing all of the three transportation lines possess long-term memory. The impact of the four critical
events has also been evaluated. The study will help crude oil enterprises make investment decision
on potential transportation lines and give policymakers advice to maintain stability of the crude oil
industry. Keywords: Energy management | Crude oil transportation | Fluctuation characteristics | The impact of critical events |
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