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Monitoring tourism flows and destination management: Empirical evidence for Portugal
نظارت بر جریان گردشگری و مدیریت مقصد: شواهد تجربی برای پرتغال-2016 We propose the use of a tool recently introduced by Gayer (2010), known as the “economic climate
tracer”, to analyze and monitor the cyclical evolution of tourism source markets to Portugal. Considering
the period 1987e2015, we evaluate how tourism to Portugal has been affected by economic cycles. This
tool is useful as it clearly illustrates the evolutionary patterns of different markets, and allows us to
identify close relationships with economic fluctuations. We found that German tourism plays a leading
role, since its movements are followed with delays by tourism flows from other countries, and exhibits
higher resilience to shocks. Also, domestic and Spanish tourism have both displayed less irregular be
haviors than tourism from other source markets. On the contrary, tourism from the Netherlands and the
UK, have displayed irregular patterns, which demonstrates the urgency to diversify tourism source
markets to reduce the countrys vulnerability to external shocks and economic cycles.
Keywords: Tourism cycles | Tourism demand | Portugal | Crises |
مقاله انگلیسی |