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Agnostic fundamental analysis works
کارهای تحلیلی پایه ای بر اساس انکار خدا-2018 To assess stock market informational efficiency with minimal data snooping, we take the view of a statistician with little knowledge of finance. The statistician uses techniques such as least squares to estimate peer-implied fair values from the market values of replicating portfolios with the same accounting statements as the company being valued. Divergence of a companys peer-implied value estimate from its market value represents mispricing, motivating a convergence trade that earns risk-adjusted returns of up to 10% per year and is economically significant for both large and small cap firms. The rate of convergence decays to zero over the subsequent 34 months.
keywords: Valuation |Asset pricing |Market efficiency |Fundamental analysis |Point-in-Time |Theil-Sen |
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