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1 |
Qualitative and quantitative project risk assessment using a hybrid PMBOK model developed under uncertainty conditions
ارزیابی ریسک کمی و کیفی پروژه با استفاده از یک مدل توسعه یافته PMBOK تحت شرایط غیر قطعی-2020 This study presented a qualitative and quantitative project risk assessment using a hybrid PMBOK model developed under uncertainty conditions. Accordingly, an exploratory and applied research design was employed in this study. The research sample included 15 experienced staff working in main and related positions in Neyr Perse Company. After reviewing the literature and the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK), 32 risk factors were identified and their number reduced to 17 risks using the expert opinions via the fuzzy Delphi technique run through three stages. The results of the confirmatory factor analysis showed that all risks were confirmed by the members of the research sample. Then the identified risks were structured and ranked using fuzzy DEMATEL and fuzzy ANP techniques. The final results of the study showed that the political and economic sanctions had the highest weight followed by foreign investors’ attraction and the lack of regional infrastructure. Keywords: Project risks | Project management body of knowledge (PMBOK) | Uncertainty | Mixed qualitative and quantitative risk assessment approach | Mathematics | Probability theory | Engineering | Industrial engineering | Business |
مقاله انگلیسی |
2 |
Qualitative and quantitative project risk assessment using a hybrid PMBOK model developed under uncertainty conditions
ارزیابی کیفی و کمی ریسک پروژه با استفاده از یک مدل ترکیبی PMBOK که در شرایط عدم اطمینان ایجاد شده است-2020 This study presented a qualitative and quantitative project risk assessment using a hybrid PMBOK model
developed under uncertainty conditions. Accordingly, an exploratory and applied research design was employed
in this study. The research sample included 15 experienced staff working in main and related positions in Neyr
Perse Company. After reviewing the literature and the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK), 32
risk factors were identified and their number reduced to 17 risks using the expert opinions via the fuzzy Delphi
technique run through three stages. The results of the confirmatory factor analysis showed that all risks were
confirmed by the members of the research sample. Then the identified risks were structured and ranked using
fuzzy DEMATEL and fuzzy ANP techniques. The final results of the study showed that the political and economic
sanctions had the highest weight followed by foreign investors’ attraction and the lack of regional infrastructure.
Keywords: Project risks | Project management body of knowledge(PMBOK) | Uncertainty | Mixed qualitative and quantitative risk | assessment approach | Mathematics | Probability theory | Engineering | Industrial engineering | Business |
مقاله انگلیسی |