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نتیجه جستجو - روش دلفی

تعداد مقالات یافته شده: 4
ردیف عنوان نوع
1 چالش‌های احیای زنجیره‌ی تأمین در پی همه‌گیری کووید-19
سال انتشار: 2021 - تعداد صفحات فایل pdf انگلیسی: 14 - تعداد صفحات فایل doc فارسی: 46
همه‌گیری کرونا شکننده بودن زنجیره‌های تأمین جهانی در اثر کمبود مواد اولیه، اختلال در تولید و حمل و نقل، و فاصله‎گذاری اجتماعی را آشکار نمود. بایستی شرکت‌ها به دقت مشکلات مرتبط با احیا را پیش‌بینی نموده و راهبردهای مناسبی را برای اطمینان از بقای زنجیره‌های تأمین و کسب و کارهای خود تدوین نمایند. برای افزایش آگاهی از این مسائل، هدف پژوهش پیش رو، شناسایی و مدلسازی چالش‌های احیا در بستر صنعت پوشاک "دوخته‌فروش" بنگلادش است. روش آزمایش و آزمایشگاه ارزیابی و آزمون تصمیم‌گیری خاکستری مبتنی بر دلفی (DEMATEL) برای تحلیل داده‌ها استفاده شد. درحالیکه روش دلفی به شناسایی چالش‌های اصلی احیای زنجیره‌ی تأمین ناشی از تأثیرات همه‌گیری کووید-19 کمک می‌کند، رویکرد DEMATEL خاکستری به دسته‌بندی روابط علّی میان این چالش‌های کمک خواهد کرد. از بین 23 چالش احیای نهایی، 12 مورد، چالش‌های علّی هستند. یافته‌های این پژوهش می‌تواند به تصمیم‌گیرندگان در توسعه‌ی سیاست‌های راهبردی برای غلبه بر چالش‌های احیای در دوران پساکرونا کمک کند.
کلیدواژه ها: همه‌گیری کووید-19 | مدیریت زنجیره‎‌ی تأمین | چالش‌های احیا | روش دلفی | DEMATEL خاکستری.
مقاله ترجمه شده
2 Modelling of supply chain disruption analytics using an integrated approach: An emerging economy example
مدل سازی تجزیه و تحلیل اختلال در زنجیره تامین با استفاده از یک رویکرد یکپارچه: یک مثال اقتصاد در حال ظهور-2021
The purpose of this paper is to develop a framework to identify, analyze, and to assess supply chain disruption factors and drivers. Based on an empirical analysis, four disruption factor categories including natural, human- made, system accidents, and financials with a total of sixteen disruption drivers are identified and examined in a real-world industrial setting. This research utilizes an integrated approach comprising both the Delphi method and the fuzzy analytic hierarchy process (FAHP). To test this integrated method, one of the well-known examples in industrial contexts of developing countries, the ready-made garment industry in Bangladesh is considered. To evaluate this industrial example, a sensitivity analysis is conducted to ensure the robustness and viability of the framework in practical settings. This study not only expands the literature scope of supply chain disruption risk assessment but through its application in any context or industry will reduce the impact of such disruptions and enhance the overall supply chain resilience. Consequently, these enhanced capabilities arm managers the ability to formulate relevant mitigation strategies that are robust and computationally efficient. These strategies will allow managers to take calculated decisions proactively. Finally, the results reveal that political and regulatory instability, cyclones, labor strikes, flooding, heavy rain, and factory fires are the top six disruption drivers causing disruptions to the ready-made garment industry in Bangladesh.
Keywords: Supply chain management | Disruption factors and drivers | Fuzzy analytic hierarchy process | Delphi method
مقاله انگلیسی
3 Identifying sustainable rural entrepreneurship indicators in the Iranian context
شناسایی شاخص های کارآفرینی پایدار روستایی در بافت ایرانی-2020
Sustainable entrepreneurship is a strategy for development, growth, and prosperity that has received the attention of researchers, especially in the fields of economic development and rural businesses. The present study aims to identify the sustainable entrepreneurship indicators in Iranian rural businesses using the Fuzzy Delphi method. The results derived from three phases of the Delphi technique intro- duced 87 indicators for sustainable entrepreneurship. However, considering the threshold, just 69 indicators were approved by the experts. In the sociocultural dimension, scholars pay special attention to the promotion of social trust and social altruism and empathy among the local people. In the economic dimension, indicators such as utilization of facilities, cost management of products and services for business stability, and market management had higher averages. Finally, major indicators of the ethical dimension include financial business transparency, ethics in using biological resources, and managing human resources. In general, the obtained results highlight the importance of determining the stability of indicators in rural entrepreneurship and the necessity of managers’ and politicians’ attention toward this sector.© 2020 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
Keywords: Sustainable entrepreneurship | Sustainability | Rural business | Rural empowerment | Fuzzy delphi method
مقاله انگلیسی
4 The future and social impact of Big Data Analytics in Supply Chain Management: Results from a Delphi study
تاثیر آتی و اجتماعی تجزیه و تحلیل داده های بزرگ در مدیریت زنجیره تامین: نتایج یک مطالعه دلفی-2018
The continuously growing amount of available data has accelerated the emergence of numerous business in telligence applications that are summarized under the term Big Data Analytics (BDA). BDA is especially relevant to the domain of Supply Chain Management (SCM) as it provides the tools to support decision-making in in creasingly global, volatile and dynamic value networks. However, its application challenges traditional in stitutional arrangements as well as roles that are related to the management of data. The underlying empirical study addresses this challenge with the application of a multi-method approach that is embedded in Organizational Information Processing Theory (OIPT). A Delphi survey was conducted to integrate expert as sessments of projections up to the year 2035 and fuzzy c-means clustering was applied to identify future sce narios that span the future of BDA in SCM. The study suggests that BDA will improve demand forecasts, reduce safety stocks and improve the management of supplier performance. However, supply chain (SC) processes will become increasingly automated and traditional tasks of SCM will be partially substituted as a result. Consequently, the transition of the traditional role of SCM within organizations will increase the importance of human intuition, trust and strategic decision-making.
Keywords: Big Data Analytics ، Supply Chain Management ، Organizational Information Processing Theory ،Delphi method ، Fuzzy logic
مقاله انگلیسی
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